Luck or Skill ??

Often it seems we attribute a 50ft putt to luck, or more often it seems a nice 100-200 ft shot to luck. and of course those Ace;s all of you seem to be getting..to luck.
But I always seem to think ..well, if you threw in the general direction of the basket and maybe closed your eyes it might be luck, but otherwise if you were aiming for the basket and it goes in in any situation ( ok..maybe unless it skips in or bounces off a tree..) then it was skill!! right?

Ok. so then what about all those missed shots? do we suck that bad? or is it not as easy as some make it look? haha..ok, maybe its just me!

Do you contribute a nice long shot or putt to skill or luck? I say skill.

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

Flip a coin 100 times. It will always come up 50% heads & 50% tails.
This is based on the law of probability.

Would you bet on that? ....that a coin flipped 100 times will always come up 50% heads and 50% tails, exactly. Please say yes and bring your money.

[Disc Player Sports]

Try it and see what you come up with.
Did this in ninth grade physics.
It is probable the coin will split 50/50.

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

Then maybe you should go back to ninth grade....because the outcome is completly random.

...and wasn't it in a math class where you covered Probability Theory ....not Physics?

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

Regardless of what class covered Probability Theory, Physics or Math...the outcome of a series of coin flips is random.

So the results of 100 coin flips will not always be 50-50.

[Disc Player Sports]

you must have skipped ninth grade...
try it...obvously have not and you probably won't either/

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

I'll try it, if you wager on a perfect outcome of 50 - 50, not 48 - 52, 42 - 58 or anything else.
The probability of that is slim and none....and that's predictibility. Ha!!!
As far as remembering what exactly we learned in the 9th grade physics, some 25+ years ago....two words....yeah right.

Rock, Paper, Scissors for a buck....Clark?

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

So....if you tumble off the tee pad, will you land on your tail...50% of the time and your head 50% of the time...couldn't resist!!!

[Disc Player Sports]

half a pad

[Jamie 'gr8rocshot' Ruane]

good tumble though...very entertaining!

[Disc Player Sports]

if it happen at reed canal...
tumblereed

[Drew Merino]

Bruce, there may not be such a thing as "luck" but, having that mind set of currently being on a "lucky streak" will boost your confidence allowing you to make that ace run.

If I'm feeling "lucky" I'll go after that 50 foot putt right at the basket, rather than throw the anhyzer putt which if I miss will sit down behind the basket when I was feeling unlucky..

In my opinion "good luck" is a mind set that will make you play 100% and "bad luck" being a mind set making me play 75%.

[Rick Korab]

I agree with Bruce, "Luck" does not exist.

If "luck" were to exist, then I would have seen the Tooth Fairy or Santa Claus when I was younger.

People often feel that they are "lucky" with a specific slot machine or blackjack dealer.
This is not true, they are merely more comfortable with the situation or person they are interacting with and therefore have more confidence.

"Luck" is nothing more than a combination of circumstances that results in a favorable or unfavorable outcome.

So i guess it's easier for someone to say, "That was a lucky shot" than to say, "The wind speed/direction, barometric pressure, temperature, humidity, and your footwork, hip turn, shoulder turn, aim, wrist snap and anything else that affected your shot was ideal for your disc to end up underneath the basket."

or I prefer the appropriate response of, "Perfect Shot."